Northam tops 50% with 7-point lead over Gillespie; Democrats also lead down-ticket in tracking poll

Democrat Ralph Northam breaks the 50% mark and extends his lead over Republican Ed Gillespie as the race to be Virginia’s next governor enters its final weeks, according to our latest tracking poll. Northam, now lieutenant governor, is the choice of 50% of the likely voters surveyed, while former Republican National Committee Chair Gillespie is the choice of 43%. Libertarian Cliff Hyra polls at 3%, with 4% undecided. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 3.8%.

Down-ticket, the Democratic candidates continue to lead their Republican rivals, but the gaps have narrowed in this latest tracking poll. In the race for lieutenant governor, Democrat Justin Fairfax leads Republican state Sen. Jill Vogel, 47% to 44%, as Vogel gained to within the survey’s margin of error. Seeking a second term as attorney general, incumbent Democrat Mark Herring leads John Adams, 49% to 44%.

Oct 27 Report Final

2 thoughts on “Northam tops 50% with 7-point lead over Gillespie; Democrats also lead down-ticket in tracking poll

  1. What a complete crock! The sample is 69% college grad or post-grad. How is this representative of the Virginia GENERAL electorate?

    • That isn’t 69% of all people who responded. It’s 69% of the people who said they were registered to vote and answered that they were “probably” or “definitely” going to vote. This is because we were to end the survey if someone wasn’t registered to vote or wasn’t going to vote

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